Jacksonville, Florida Market Analysis
by Raymond Rodriguez, Market Consultant
Overview
Jacksonville
is on the great double loop of the St. Johns River,
the nation's longest north-flowing river. A busy
seaport, it is one of Florida's major cultural,
financial, industrial, transportation and commercial
centers. The city is also a wholesale lumber market
and coffee importation port and is home to a naval
stores yard. Two important interstate highways,
I-95 and I-10, intersect in the Jacksonville downtown
area. I-95 traverses the United States from north
to south beginning in Maine and ending in Miami.
I-10 connects Jacksonville on the East Coast with
Los Angeles by way of New Orleans, Houston, San
Antonio, Tucson and Phoenix.
For
many visitors heading south Jacksonville is, geographically
at least, Florida's unofficial welcome center
and the city is a fine example of what the Sunshine
State is all about. Jacksonville and its environs
have miles of beautiful sand beaches and an assortment
of museums, professional sports and abundant recreational
facilities.
According
to the Census Bureau and a study done by Fishkind
& Associates, a local consulting group, an estimated
75 households per day relocate to the Jacksonville
Metropolitan area. This equates to over 24,000
additional households per year in Jacksonville
population. In this report I will share with you
growth plans generated by the city along with
a report endorsed by the City of Jacksonville
and The Chamber Of Commerce. This includes 1,000+
participants who addressed social, education,
employment and economic issues. I will illustrate
how workforce detached housing in the low $100,000
range has been abandoned by the building industry
in recent years. I will show how small real estate
investors-turned-builder/rehabber are filling
this void created by the building industry. Finally,
I will outline investment opportunities in the
$50,000 to $125,000 home price range, which will
allow investors to capitalize on recent new employment
announcements of international shipping companies
setting up shop in the Florida's First Coast known
as Jacksonville.
Better
Jacksonville Plan
Voters approved "The Better Jacksonville
Plan" in 2001. This 2.25 billion dollar plan provides
road and infrastructure improvements, environmental
preservation, targeted economic development and
new and improved public facilities. The plan is
scheduled to be completed by 2010. Improvements
can be seen especially in the northwest sector
of Jacksonville, north of Interstate 10. Redevelopment
efforts in Jacksonville are currently underway
and can be seen driving throughout targeted areas.
The Jacksonville Economic Commission has identified
the Soutel/Moncrief area as a blighted area and
redevelopment plans are underway, which are designed
to bring retail and more local jobs to the area.
(This area currently has an abundance of rental
property that is in high demand and can be bought
by the experienced investor for well under $100,000)
Businesses located in the "Enterprise Zone" receive
special monthly tax credits against their Florida
sales and use tax liability. A map follows this
page outlining an area referred to as the "Enterprise
Zone".
CSX
Transportation, Winn Dixie, Bank of America,
US Navy, Blue Cross/Blue Shield, Baptist Health
Systems, Publix Distribution Center, Citibank
and Fidelity National are just some of the major
employers in the "River City". As Jacksonville
pursues its new economic engine, international
trade is becoming an important component of
Jacksonville's future. In 2007, Mitsui, a South
Korean container shipping company, announced
its relocation to Jacksonville. According to
company press releases, they're scheduled to
open operations by the end of 2008. Mitsui will
bring 1,300 jobs, having an indirect impact
of up to 5,000 jobs. The establishment of Mitsui
paved the way for another shipping container
company, Hanjin, to set up shop in 2011, bringing
an additional 6,000 jobs to Jacksonville.
A
locator map follows the "Enterprise Zone" map,
pinpointing the location of such operations.
The area east of Interstate 95 adjacent to the
proposed container shipping sites has an existing
housing inventory of 12,038 units at a median
price of $215,800. Opposite I-95, in the northwest
sector, there are 52,204 housing units at a
median price of $89,500. The northwest sector
has over four times the amount of homes, when
compared to the container shipping area and
is nearly 60% lower in terms of median sales
price.
Blueprint
for Prosperity
In
2005, the City Of Jacksonville, the Jacksonville
Regional Chamber of Commerce and WorkSource embarked
on BluePrint for Prosperity, a partnership to
improve our community through concentrated efforts
in six foundation areas: Education, Economic Development,
Quality of Life, Racial Opportunity and Harmony,
Infrastructure and Leadership. Blueprint's top
priority is to increase economic opportunity and
raise the per capita and household income of Duval
County residents. The opportunity for the investment
sector to provide affordable housing is great.
Unfortunately for consumers, attached housing
was often their only option for new housing priced
under $200,000. The lack of affordable new housing
available for consumers to purchase created opportunities
for real estate investors-turned-builders, to
benefit financially by constructing or refurbishing
single family detached housing under $200,000.
Since
the year 2000, home prices in Jacksonville have
risen annually by 6.7%. The figure is based
on 129,727 recorded deeds, processed in the
greater Jacksonville area, related to single
family homes. This appreciation rate is conservative
compared to most other areas in Florida. The
lack of affordable housing remains evident in
Jacksonville. Currently, there is a high inventory
of middle to upper income homes which has driven
some of their values downward. Nonetheless,
sales prices and rental rates still remain so
high that it keeps these homes in less demand.
This opens the doors for investors to prosper
by offering housing to lower income households.
I
have only briefly reviewed redevelopment plans
by the City of Jacksonville. If you would like
further information on the plans mentioned herein,
I suggest visiting www.coj.net and go to Jacksonville
Economic Development Commission.
Housing
In
2000, 1,000 existing single-family detached housing
units were sold in the northeast and northwest
sectors priced between $50,000 and $125,000. The
number of homes to be sold in 2007 is forecasted
at 900. In the workforce housing arena, Habijax
(the local branch of Habitat for Humanity) accounts
for 95% of the new homes sold between $50,000
and $125,000. A survey of 452 homes sold in 2007
in a price range between $50,000 and $125,000
revealed that 56% of the homes purchased were
homesteaded [chosen as primary residence]. At
last count, 79% of the builders who build new
homes are pricing their homes at $150,000 and
above. These builders currently represent 95%
of the new home sales creating a void/opportunity
for smaller entities to enter the new housing
market. The existing home market offers little
in the way at home listings under $100,000. In
addition, listings in the low $100,000 range are
mainly attached housing.
As
noted above, statistics show that an average
75 households per day relocate to the Jacksonville
area. The Better Jacksonville Plan focuses on
infrastructure improvements and making blighted
areas more attractive. JEDC, a branch of the
City of Jacksonville, is the group in charge
of managing the city's economic employment engine.
When considering relocating to the Jacksonville
area, companies with sizeable numbers of employees
meet initially with The Jacksonville Economic
Commission as part of their due diligence. The
Enterprise Zone, a geographical area established
by the city, entices private enterprise to set
up shop in forgotten areas allowing them to
benefit financially from the tax breaks. We
also learned that container shipping companies
like Mitsui and Hanjin will bring more than
10,000 jobs to Jacksonville in years to come.
Workforce housing is a top priority within city
governments. The challenge set forth by the
growth in population is how to meet the demand
for housing? We know the housing void created
by the building industry is being filled by
investors-turned-builders offering new and refurbished
homes. There is no doubt, workforce housing
is a top priority among all Florida county governments.
Jacksonville is taking that lead by implementing
numerous initiatives addressing the issue. In
my 23 years as a resident of Jacksonville, I
see no better time for a properly executed housing
venture to prosper from the tremendous population
and business growth Jacksonville is experiencing.
Summary
Why
Jacksonville?
The "River City" has been highly ranked by numerous
independent organizations and publications. From
its low tax burden to high quality of life, Jacksonville
soars above other cities in side-by-side comparisons.
This translates into big returns for Jacksonville
companies and an inherent advantage over their
out-of-town competition.
Here
is just a few samples of Jacksonville's many rankings
and accolades.
- No.
3 "Best City in the U.S. for Jobs" (Forbes magazine
- 2007)
- No.
6 "Best City in the U.S for Retirees"(Forbes
magazine - 2007)
- No.
10 "Fastest Growing City" (Forbes magazine -
2007)
- Downtown
Jacksonville has been named the "Best Downtown
Development Retail Opportunity in the Nation"
(Retail Traffic magazine - 2007)
- Jacksonville
is the fastest growing U.S.-foreign trade gateway,
earning it the title of #1 Gem in the Expanding
U.S. Export Market from leading research group,
Global Insight, Inc.
- Jacksonville
is No. 29 of the 100 largest metros in the United
States and No. 2 in the state of Florida in
income growth (Bizjournals - 2007)
- No.
5 "Best State Business Tax Climate" in the Nation
(Tax Foundation - 2007)
- "2006
Major Market of the Year" (Southern Business
& Development magazine - 2006)
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